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The NQ's US session: 3:30 pm to 10 pm

Module 02 · 2 · The NQ day, Paris timeLesson 5 of 2910 minFree preview

A day in the NQ, Paris time

The NQ trades almost 23 hours a day. The NQ course gives the general map, session by session. This module cuts it differently: by book regime, because it is the regime, not the hour on the clock, that decides whether an order flow read is worth anything.

Three regimes and a transformation

00h02h04h06h08h10h12h14h16h18h20h22h24himported nightpre-market · 2:30pm3:30pm ★ endogenouslullafternoon ★after hours9:50pm MOC imbalances10pm cross + settlementheight = flow readability · imported night, endogenous first hour, algo lull, readable afternoon, last quarter hour under another logicreadability ▲

The NQ day in Paris time, in summer time. The height of the blocks measures flow readability, not only volume: the night is imported, the first hour is endogenous and deep, the lull is an algo desert, the afternoon becomes readable again, and the last quarter hour obeys another logic.

Window (Paris, summer)New YorkRegimeWhat a book read is worth
12 am to 2 pm6 pm to 8 amImported: the NQ follows Asia, then Europe and ratesWalls hold for lack of aggression; no real test
2 pm to 3:30 pm8 am to 9:30 amPre-market: the 2:30 pm numbers, the gap is setReadable but treacherous, the book is not there yet
3:30 pm to 5:30 pm9:30 am to 11:30 amEndogenous and deep: the session that countsFull value, this is the course's window
5:30 pm to 7:30 pm11:30 am to 1:30 pmThe lull: TWAP algos, desks at lunchSoft reads, divergences that do not pay
7:30 pm to 9:45 pm1:30 pm to 3:45 pmAfternoon: second peak, the day is decidedGood value, walls rarer but sincere
9:45 pm to 10 pm3:45 pm to 4 pmClose: the MOC flow and the closing crossAnother logic: we manage, we open nothing
10 pm to 11 pm, then midnight4 pm to 5 pm, then 6 pmAfter hours: earnings, near-empty book, Globex pause 11 pm to midnightNo read, except earnings nights (module 3)

Why "endogenous" is the word that counts

Between 3:30 pm and 5:30 pm, what is placed in the NQ book is placed for reasons that concern the Nasdaq: desks execute the day's client orders, market makers rebuild depth, arbitrage with the stocks runs at full speed, and aggression comes from participants with an opinion on the index. A wall that holds at 4:20 pm is a wall somebody wanted.

At night, the NQ moves because the Nikkei moved, then because the Bund moved. The book is thin, nobody tests anything. An 80-contract wall holds for three hours, not because it is strong, but because nobody came. The NQ course already teaches it: bounce setups work at night, momentum setups trap. This course adds: draw no conclusion about a participant from a night level. The same level, at 3:45 pm, will be tested by a flow that does not know it, and that test is what informs you.

The five times to engrave

  1. 2:30 pm: most US macro numbers (CPI, NFP, GDP, retail sales). The day's gap is often set there.
  2. 3:30 pm: the stocks' opening cross; the NQ's first three minutes are convergence noise.
  3. 4 pm: the 10 am New York numbers (ISM, consumer confidence, home sales) and, often, the end of the first leg.
  4. 8 pm: on FOMC days, the decision; other days, 7 pm and its Treasury auctions, the afternoon's restart.
  5. 9:50 pm: the publication of closing imbalances; ten minutes later, the cash's last price and the future's settlement.

In winter, the Paris / New York offset stays at six hours, except two or three weeks in March and one week at the end of October when it falls to five: everything then moves one hour earlier in your day, and the open is at 2:30 pm. The FDAX course has a whole figure on it.

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→ 2 pm to 3:30 pm: the 2:30 pm numbers, the gap and the pre-market