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Trading ES in order flow with DeepCharts, DeepDom and DeepGamma: the complete course

Module 11 · 11 · Risk: size, expectancy, the prop firm account and the journalLesson 64 of 887 min🔒 Students only

Losing streaks and the daily rules

At a 45% win rate, over one hundred trades, the probability of stringing together five losses at least once exceeds 85%. Six losses in a row happen about two times out of three. These are not accidents: they are the normal variance of a real edge. The account has to get through them without changing anything in the method, and the daily and weekly rules exist for that, not to cap the gains.

Why −2R and not −4R

The daily limit is 4R. Why stop at −2R? Because the last two R of a losing day are almost always taken on catch-up setups, graded AA out of complacency. And because a prop firm account has an intraday limit: if you reach −2R at 6 pm, you still have a margin for a slippage, an outage, a misclick.

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The rest of this lesson is for students

Also in this lesson
  • The streaks, in numbers
  • The daily and weekly rules
  • Why half size after +3R

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