Trading ES in order flow with DeepCharts, DeepDom and DeepGamma: the complete course
Losing streaks and the daily rules
At a 45% win rate, over one hundred trades, the probability of stringing together five losses at least once exceeds 85%. Six losses in a row happen about two times out of three. These are not accidents: they are the normal variance of a real edge. The account has to get through them without changing anything in the method, and the daily and weekly rules exist for that, not to cap the gains.
Why −2R and not −4R
The daily limit is 4R. Why stop at −2R? Because the last two R of a losing day are almost always taken on catch-up setups, graded AA out of complacency. And because a prop firm account has an intraday limit: if you reach −2R at 6 pm, you still have a margin for a slippage, an outage, a misclick.
The rest of this lesson is for students
- The streaks, in numbers
- The daily and weekly rules
- Why half size after +3R
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