The evening positions and the 7:54 pm plan

Three positions between 6:46 pm and 7:48 pm: a pivot exit, a brake fade, and a half-size long that is the most instructive of the three because it shows how the grid refuses full size to a tempting trade. Then the if/then plan written at 7:54 pm, the one from module 5, with its "no long" line that turned out to be right.

The 7:48 pm counter-example

On the capture: ① the 7,609 brake has grown a lot (A1 validated), ② a double P floor near 7,612.5 argues for the long, but H-GEX stays purple, ③ MM Pressure falls and drops back below its average (A2 contradicted). A stop behind the block (below 7,607) would cost 26 ticks, too expensive: the 10-tick stop stays inside the block. Verdict AA, half size.